The Psychologist Who Turned the Investing World on Its Head

Daniel Kahneman died on March 27, at the age of 90; he was a psychologist at Princeton University and winner of the Nobel Prize in economics in 2002

Kahneman’s greatest contribution to this world came in the form of his research in the field of   Behavioural Economics in which he did a pioneering work along with his research partner, Amos Tversky, who died in 1996. Kahneman was best known for a huge bestseller he co-authored with Jason Zweig named “Thinking, Fast and Slow.”

Prior to his research, ever since Enlightenment it was assumed that man thinks rationally and takes his decisions logically, however through his work it was established that humans do not make rational or unbiased decisions and man’s preferences are not consistent.

The main plank of his book is that people apply two separate means of decision making: one is Emotional and spontaneous; and the second is a more deliberate and slow, driven by our rationality. This is loaded with our previous biases and experiences which deeply influence our buying behaviour. 

He explained risk in terms of money lost, for instance we feel more pain at loosing Rs. 100; than the pleasure we experience after gaining Rs.100. People are more likely to invest in a company which has 80% chance of success than they would in a company which has 20% chance of failure.  

His findings inspired massive changes across the business world and investment patterns, as his co-author put it, “Kahneman may well have had more influence on investing than anyone else who wasn’t a professional investor.” His work shaped the reforms in redesign of many projects and programs from organ-donation to infrastructure projects 

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